Russell Wilson 2016-17: A Deep Passing Game Analysis (5)

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

NFL PLAYOFFS: 

NFC WILD CARD: DETROIT LIONS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (W)

SHORT: 109 yards, 1 touchdown, 18/24 – 75%
INTERMEDIATE: 46 yards, 1 touchdown, 3/4 – 75%
DEEP: 69 yards, 2/2 – 100%

23/30 for 224 passing yards, 76.7% completion, 7.5YPA, 2 touchdowns, 119.3 passer rating, 3 sacks for 14 yards

As the run game was clicking early, Wilson was not needed to throw deep very often throughout this game. With the passes he did make, he made them count.

1-10-SEA 35, 4th quarter
(11:09) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin ran ob at DET 23 for 42 yards [92-H.Ngata].

It’s late in the game and Detroit’s defense is needing a stop to give the ball back to their offense. They are betting run, and as such stack the box with eight defenders. Seattle calls smartly calls a play-action shot play on 1st down.

With the play-action working as well as it has all year, Doug Baldwin (#89) runs from his slot left position, first making a sharp cut inside at the 40 yard line to create separation, and follows it with a shallower cut at the 50 yard line, creating space towards the sideline, away from both his corner and the incoming deep safety. Wilson is given the time he needs and sets his feet to throw a dime on the sideline to Baldwin for a completion of 42 yards.

3-5-SEA 33, 4th quarter
(4:44) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 10-P.Richardson to DET 40 for 27 yards (24-N.Lawson) [98-D.Taylor]. Penalty on DET-24-N.Lawson, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

It’s a critical 3rd down late in the 4th quarter. Detroit pressures with a five man rush with a linebacker show blitz in the A gap. They have one safety deep and their corners are aligned in man coverage on Seattle’s receivers.

RT Garry Gilliam elects to help RG Germain Ifedi with his lineman and ignores the incoming edge rusher. Paul Richardson (#10) is aligned slot left, and beats both the corner and safety with straight, nasty speed. Wilson sees he has his man open and places the ball just in-front of him, allowing him to one-hand the reception.

NFC DIVISONAL ROUND: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ATLANTA FALCONS (L)

SHORT: 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 12/20 – 60%
INTERMEDIATE: 32 yards, 2/2 – 100%
DEEP: 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 3/8 – 38%

17/30 for 225 passing yards, 56.7% completion, 7.5YPA, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 75.0 passer rating, 3 sacks for 17 yards

2-7-SEA 48, 2nd quarter
(13:22) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 10-P.Richardson for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 10-P.Richardson to ATL 19 for 33 yards (32-J.Collins). Penalty on ATL-34-B.Poole, Defensive Holding, declined.

Taking a break from their usual cover 3, Atlanta is playing a safety deep, another in the box, and have their corners in press man. Wilson takes a deep drop-back and surveys the field, scanning from right to left. After seeing Paul Richardson (#10) establish outside leverage on his corner towards the sideline, Wilson throws to him. Richardson makes a fantastic adjustment and puts the Seahawks in scoring territory with a 33 yard reception.

2-14-SEA 32, 3rd quarter
(6:06) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 10-P.Richardson to ATL 28 for 40 yards (34-B.Poole).

One of the hardest throws you’ll see Wilson make all year, running to his right and throwing an accurate bomb 40 yards down the field. With his health returning to him, the Seahawks could count on Wilson’s mobility ability to mitigate pressure and escape the pocket to buy extra time.

The Falcons are playing in another cover 1 look with with their corners in man coverage. Wilson takes the shotgun snap and drifts right after seeing edge pressure off his right tackle, and pressure in the A gap from the defender LG Mark Glowinski disengages from.

A knock on Paul Richardson (#10) coming out of college was his inability to beat press coverage because of his technique and slight frame. The corner he completely whiffs on Richardson as he takes an inside move and dodges the corners attempt to press, ultimately breaking free down the sideline. The Seahawks are hoping Richardson continues to show this ability next season.

2-15-SEA 20, 4th quarter
(14:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin.

Down 29-13, on the road in the playoffs, the Seahawk are looking to be especially aggressive on this 2nd and 15.  After initially showing a no safety look, S Keanu Neal (#22) retreats from the box and into deep middle. Doug Baldwin (#89) is slot left, and runs a go route across the field, showing a decisive cut that gets his corner to hesitate and allow him to get open.

Neal picks the wrong receiver to cover, and Baldwin finds himself open down the field. Wilson sidesteps left to avoid a strong push from LB Vic Beasley (#44) against right tackle Gilliam, and attempts to set his feet and make the throw. Wilson misjudges it and overthrows him by a hair.

Wilson missed Baldwin deep against Carolina late in the playoffs last year that was very reminiscent of this overthrow. Have to hit these if you want to win in the playoffs.

1-10-ATL 31, 4th quarter
(3:29) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-23-R.Alford, Defensive Holding, declined.

Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin can strike from any part of the field. Usually. On this play they do. The Seahawks have 3 receivers bunch left and Jimmy Graham (#88) split right. Jermaine Kearse (#15) contributes in protection with an effective chip block here that puts DE Dwight Freeney (#93) on his ass and gives Wilson enough time to step up in the pocket and throw deep. RT Garry Gilliam does a great job here pushing Beasley out of the way as he rushes off the edge.

Doug Baldwin (#89) attempts his release and is immediately held by CB Robert Alford (#23). After breaking through his clutches Baldwin escapes down to to the far corner of the field towards the unoccupied zone.

1-10-SEA 20, 4th quarter
(2:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 10-P.Richardson to ATL 22 for 58 yards. Atlanta challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 10-P.Richardson. 

Seattle is in an empty set looking to strike fast as they are down big late in this playoff game. Atlanta drops 7 defenders into zone coverage anticipating a pass down the field. Paul Richardson’s (#10) corner chooses not to press him and almost pays for it as Richardson speeds past him after causing him to bite on an inside move. After looking off the free safety, Wilson throws a beauty to Richardson on the opposite of the field but is unable to secure the reception.

CUMULATIVE PLAYOFF STATS:

SHORT: 198 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, 30/44 – 68%
INTERMEDIATE: 78 yards, 1 touchdown, 5/6 – 83%
DEEP: 173 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 5/10 – 50%

449 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 40 completions on 60 passing attempts – 66%.

Russell Wilson is a quarterback who loves throwing the deep ball, and he’s been quite good at it throughout his career. Overall, his accuracy hitting this part of the field took a step back this season due to both protection and injury issues. This also impacted the amount of throws that went deep, as the numbers show the quick passing game to short and intermediate areas became much more of a priority early in the season. When missing deep, Wilson typically overthrew his receivers. Wilson will use the offseason to get healthy and work on timing with his receivers, hopefully addressing this deficiency.

1st Quarter: (Weeks 1-4)
Dolphins, Rams, Niners, Jetsankle injury Miami
knee injury Niners
403 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 11/19 – 57%
2nd Quarter: (Weeks 6-9)
Falcons, Cardinals, Saints, Billspectoral injury Cardinals
104 yards, 1 interception, 3/8 – 38%
3rd Quarter: (Weeks 10-13)
Patriots, Eagles, Bucs, Panthers
330 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 11/26 – 42%
4th Quarter: (Weeks 14-17)
Packers, Rams, Cardinals, Niners
347 yards, 1 touchdown, 4 interceptions, 12/27 – 44%

2016 Regular Season: Deep Ball Passing
1,184 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, 37 attempts on 80 passing attempts – 46%.

NFC Wild Card:
Detroit Lions
69 yards, 2/2 – 100%
NFC Divisonal Round:
Atlanta Falcons
104 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 3/8 – 38%

2017 Post Season: Deep Ball Passing
173 passing yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 5 completions on 10 passing attempts – 50%.

The Seahawks altered their game-plan early in the season to accommodate the injuries by their quarterback. They all but stopped throwing deep in Weeks 6-9 before ramping it up for the final 2 quarters of the season. Wilson did not find a lot of success throwing the ball deep when it came to scoring touchdowns – ultimately he ended with a 3:7 TD/INT ratio on passes traveling over 21+ yards. This ratio was heavily impacted by Wilson’s game against Green Bay, where he threw 3 interceptions when throwing deep.

 DEEP PASSING TARGETS (21+ yards)
TYLER LOCKETT 8/15 for 292 receiving yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 53% catch rate
DOUG BALDWIN 13/20, 486 receiving yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions, 65% catch rate
JIMMY GRAHAM 6/9 for 189 yards, 1 touchdown, 66% catch rate
JERMAINE KEARSE

4/19 for 114 receiving yards, 2 interceptions, 21% catch rate

PAUL RICHARDSON 5/14 for 166 receiving yards, 35% catch rate
LUKE WILLSON 0/2, 0% catch rate
MARCEL REECE

1/1 for 31 receiving yards, 100% catch rate

TANNER MCEVOY 2/2 for 63 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns, 100% catch rate
ALEX COLLINS

0/1, 1 interception, 0% catch rate

C.J. PROSISE 1/2 for 38 receiving yards, 50% catch rate

When throwing deep, Russell Wilson’s top 5 favorite receivers in order of total targets, were Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Tyler Lockett, Paul Richardson, and finally Jimmy Graham. Of these five, Graham caught the highest amount of his targets, with 6 completions on 9 attempts for 189 yards and 1 touchdown and a 66% catch rate. Doug Baldwin produced the most yards of the group, with 486, flashing a 65% catch rate with 13 completions on 20 attempts.

As you can see from some of the incompletions deep to Baldwin this past year, more than a few touchdowns have been left on the field. Doug Baldwin is a top 10 receiver in the league regardless of the numbers he logs.

Tyler Lockett continued a trend from last year of being one of Wilson’s favorite receivers to hit deep, but suffered because of the numerous injures he sustained throughout the year. Lockett made 8 completions on 15 attempts for 292 yards, and had 1 touchdown for a 53% catch rate.

Wilson’s fourth most targeted receiver was Paul Richardson. Richardson made an impact here and there with deep targets throughout the season, but never established himself as a consistent receiver until after Lockett suffered his season ending injury in Week 16 against the Arizona Cardinals. Richardson appeared to have a bigger impact on the offense once the playoffs started after receiving more targets, but nevertheless finished with 5 completions on 14 attempts for 166 yards, and a 35% catch rate.

The worst statistically out of the bunch was Jermaine Kearse, who was only able to produce 4 catches on 19 attempts for 114 yards and a meager 21% catch rate. For the offense to reassert itself when throwing down the field, the receiving corp needs to continue its growth and flesh out the depth. A substantial part of the deep passing game this past year were incomplete passes thrown at Kearse. If this is no longer successful, as the offense seemed to demonstrate this past season, then it needs to be adjusted as such. Here’s to Jermaine Kearse, Russell Wilson and the rest of the Seattle Seahawks having a better season in 2017-18.

auctions.jpgGo Hawks!

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

Russell Wilson 2016-17: A Deep Passing Game Analysis (4)

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

This next game was a horrific one for the Seahawks and easily one of Russell Wilson’s worst games of all time. Brace yourselves.

4TH QUARTER OF THE SEASON

WEEK 14: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS (L)

SHORT: 128 yards, 1 interception, 16/24 – 67%
INTERMEDIATE: 60 yards, 1 interception, 4/5 – 80%
DEEP: 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions, 2/10 – 20%

22/39 for 240 passing yards, 56.4% completion, 6.2YPA, 1 touchdown, 5 interceptions, 43.7 passer rating, 3 sacks for 22 yards

2-2-GB 33, 1st quarter
(9:36) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 89-D.Baldwin.

Russell Wilson gets plenty of time to unload the deep ball here, but his propensity to overthrow his receivers on these deep attempts resurfaces again here. The Seahawks are in an I-formation with Thomas Rawls (#34) in at tailback and Luke Willson (#82) at fullback. The Packers are playing cover 1 with press coverage on the outside. Doug Baldwin (#89) runs an exquisite stop and go route, separating from his defender down the field. Beating the Packers in Lambeau means having to make these types of throws all game.

 1-10-SEA 42, 1st quarter
(2:05) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 88-J.Graham.

The Seahawks are in singleback formation again, signaling a strong threat of a run play with 3 tight ends total on the field. The Packers respond by loading the box 9 defenders. Tyler Lockett’s (#16) motion towards the line of scrimmage reveals man coverage as his corner mirrors his movement. The single high deep safety shows cover 1 man. Wilson runs a great play-action fake and gives himself plenty of time to set his feet and make this throw downfield, but it results in another frustrating overthrow. The play-action works perfectly as Jimmy Graham (#88) slips by his defenders unnoticed and is open down the field. Wilson overthrows Graham, and misses a possible second long touchdown in one quarter.

1-10-SEA 24, 2nd quarter
(:48) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 44-M.Reece pushed ob at GB 45 for 31 yards (33-M.Hyde).

While Russell Wilson seemed to struggle to throwing the ball deep with consistent accuracy when given time, his accuracy on the run maintained as consistent as ever. Down 21-3, the Seahawks are in empty to spread the defenders out and help simplify Wilson’s reads. The Packers are in a two high safety look with both safeties playing very deep, and the defense in zone coverage.

RT Bradley Sowell (#78) attempts to block LB Clay Matthews (#52) but gives up immediate pressure inside. Feeling this, Wilson runs to his right out of the pocket and tightropes an accurate strike to FB Marcel Reece (#44) 30 yards down the field. Reece shows great hands and athleticism for a fullback to secure the catch and tip-toe the sideline.

2-10-GB 20, 3rd quarter
(11:09) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left intended for 15-J.Kearse INTERCEPTED by 24-Q.Rollins (36-L.Gunter) at GB -3.2-

Wilson’s struggles throwing against the Packers as well as throwing deep this game continue here. With a two high safety look and man coverage on the sidelines Wilson is throwing to the correct place on the field here. Jermaine Kearse (#15) is unable to gain positioning, and the ball is tipped and intercepted towards a Green Bay defender who is nearby (of course). With a 4 man rush, Wilson finds himself with plenty of protection on this play. The throw might had more success had it been directed outside, but the inability to gain positioning and ultimately tipping the ball up results in the interception.

3-SEA 40, 3rd quarter
(7:52) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left intended for 89-D.Baldwin INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Randall at GB 42. 23-D.Randall to SEA 32 for 26 yards (34-T.Rawls).Touchback.

Pre-snap, the Packers are playing with a single high safety and press man to challenge the receivers. The safeties rotate before the snap, but both return to their deep responsibilities post-snap. Keeping an extra tight end and their running back to block, Wilson shows greats pocket awareness to take measured steps to his left after deciding his initial read down the right sideline was not an option.

Doug Baldwin (#89) runs a switch route with Jermaine Kearse (#15), attempting to create a pick in man coverage and get Baldwin free. CB Demarious Randall (#23) alertly avoids the possible pick play, but ultimately leaves too much space for Baldwin on the sideline, and proceeds to slip on the play. Despite the accurate throw, normally sure-handed Baldwin tips the pass up to be intercepted (something that only happens when the Seahawks play the Packers).

3-SEA 40, 3rd quarter
(7:52) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left intended for 89-D.Baldwin INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Randall at GB 42. 23-D.Randall to SEA 32 for 26 yards (34-T.Rawls).Touchback.

The Packers have a single safety deep with their second playing in the box. Jermaine Kearse (#15) is the only receiver being pressed on this play, a bit of info not missed by the quarterback. The offensive line picks up the four man rush with relative ease, and provides Wilson a good pocket from which to make his throw.

Wilson scans the field for the one receiver playing against press coverage in hopes of him beating the corner and getting open vertically. Kearse is able to successfully gain positioning on his defender on this play but is unable to come down with the reception as it bounces right off his hands.

At least it wasn’t an interception this time.

1-10-GB 21, 4th quarter
(8:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 19-T.McEvoy for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Already up 31-3, the Packers resort to leaving two safeties deep in an effort to prevent Seattle from getting big gains. In a cover 2 zone look such as this, the sidelines become an attackable part of coverage. Wilson finds his receiver streaking in-between said zones and fires the ball for a touchdown to prevent him from going touchdown-less in a sixth game this season. Tanner McEvoy (#19) adjusts the ball and braces himself as a hit arrives from an incoming defender, showing great footwork to complete the process of the catch.

WEEK 15: LOS ANGELES RAMS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

SHORT: 126 yards, 2 touchdowns, 16/21 – 76%
INTERMEDIATE: 17 yards, 1/1 – 100%
DEEP: 86 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 2/4 – 50%

19/26 for 229 passing yards, 73.1% completion, 8.8YPA, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 122.1 passer rating, 2 sacks for 2 yards

3-9-SEA 8, 1st quarter
(2:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett pushed ob at SEA 37 for 29 yards (35-M.Jordan).

A critical 3rd and long early in the game, the Rams show a 7 man box and decide to blitz 6 before spying Wilson with one linebacker. The offensive line is able to pick up the blitz long enough for Wilson to decide he’s throwing to Tyler Lockett (#16) running a go route down the sideline.

Lockett uses an excellent release here to gain separation off press coverage. His footwork at the line leaves him with the entire sideline open to haul in this dime from Wilson.

1-10-LA 48, 1st quarter
(1:06) Direct snap to 19-T.McEvoy. 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin (38-C.Davis). After lateral to Wilson.

The Seahawks run a trick play, placing Russell Wilson out as wide receiver pre-snap. Knowing they would have issues protecting their quarterback, the Seahawks attempt to use a lot of misdirection on this play to provide Wilson time for a deep shot.

Tanner McEvoy (#19), who is in at quarterback, takes the shotgun snap and hands off to Tyler Lockett (#16) on a sweep, who then pitches the ball to Russell Wilson. Doug Baldwin (#89) runs a double move down the field and gains positioning on the deep safety near the end of his route. Wilson has to let the ball fly before Baldwin is able to gain separation, causing a much more difficult throw. It arrives too shallow and results in Baldwin falling before attempting to make the reception.

3-11-SEA 43, 4th quarter
(14:56) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The LA Rams are playing their two safeties back deep, and are in zone coverage. A Rams defender threatens a blitz before retreating post-snap. Despite the stunting of the four-man rush, the offensive line is able to communicate and pick up the twist.

The Rams deep safety makes a crucial mistake here and forgets to cover the deep part of the field, letting Tyler Lockett (#16) run right past him. Wilson looks off both safeties and executes an accurate strike down the field for the touchdown. The Seahawks offense missed these deep touchdown throws to Lockett this past season. On the bright side, with these deep throws to Lockett in both Rams games, he is such a such a Rams-killer, no?

3-19-LA 24, 4th quarter
(3:18) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right intended for 15-J.Kearse INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Ogletree [99-A.Donald] at LA 1.

The game is already out of hand at this point, with the Seahawks leading 24-3 deep in the 4th quarter. Despite that, Wilson throws an extremely uncharacteristic interception that became more frequent over the last part of the season. Wilson has never been one to force passes to covered receivers, but to throw into triple coverage off his back foot is something you almost never see a good quarterback like Wilson do. The pass is predictably intercepted. The LA Rams are playing zone coverage with one deep safety. The safety is in a prime position to break up the pass as he reads Wilson’s eyes with ease.

WEEK 16: ARIZONA CARDINALS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

SHORT: 125 yards, 2 touchdowns, 20/31 – 65%
INTERMEDIATE: 135 yards, 2 touchdowns, 6/6 – 100%
DEEP: 90 yards, 3/8 – 37%

29/45 for 350 passing yards, 64.4% completion, 7.8YPA, 4 touchdowns, 117.8 passer rating, 6 sacks for 37 yards

1-10-ARI 25, 1st quarter
(2:41) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 16-T.Lockett (26-B.Williams).

Needing to match the scoring barrage by the Cardinals, Wilson chose to throw deep early and often against the Cardinals. In this particular play, the Seahawks are in an I-formation with FB Marcel Reece (#44) and Thomas Rawls (#34), and both are left in to protect. The Cardinals are playing with an 8 man box with a single high safety deep and press man on the outside*. The offensive line picks up the five man blitz. Wilson recognizes man coverage on the outside and looks to one of his favorite deep targets. Wilson’s tendency to hop back following his throwing motion was the type of habit he began to display a lot during the second half of the 2016-17 season.

The pass drifts a little too inside and Lockett is almost able to come down with a great catch. This catch could’ve been absolutely spectacular, but the heads up play by the second Cardinal defender to tackle Lockett ultimately caused the incompletion.

*This type of coverage is very common theme on a lot of these plays – this is the one of the best coverages to throw deep against given you can protect and have a wide receiver who can beat press and get open deep on the outside.

1-10-SEA 40, 2nd quarter
(3:18) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at ARI 29 for 31 yards (26-B.Williams).

Down 14-0, Russell Wilson is looking deep here to try and get his team back in scoring range. The Seahawks are in another I-formation with TE Luke Willson (#82) in at fullback and RB Thomas Rawls (#34). The Cardinals have an eight man box with a single high safety, and are playing man coverage. They blitz five but the Seahawks offensive line is able to pick it up cleanly.

Wilson does a good job of not leaning backwards like he has done on so many of his deep incompletions this year. Doug Baldwin (#89) fools Arizona CB Brandon Williams (#26) at the line of scrimmage with his release and uses his quick first step to streak open down the field. Wilson hits him accurately and in stride for a 31 yard gain.

2-10-ARI 34, 3rd quarter
(11:39) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 89-D.Baldwin (28-J.Bethel).

The Seahawks are in a singleback formation with their receivers in tight splits to offensive line. Because of the tight splits, the Cardinals respond by stacking the box with eight defenders, and end up blitzing five.

Wilson runs play-action to RB Alex Collins (#36) and looks to his first read, Paul Richardson (#10) on a crossing route in the middle of the field. Having to evade pressure from the right side, Wilson pump fakes and leaves the pocket, continuing to look down the field. After running his initial flat route, Doug Baldwin (#89) sees his quarterback is in trouble, and scrambles down the field to provide him an outlet.

After running of time, Wilson decides to give his receiver a chance and hurls a deep ball to Baldwin while falling onto his back foot. The pass is left too short and Baldwin is unable to adjust and complete the tough reception.

3-11-ARI 45, 3rd quarter
(3:48) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin.

One of the major turning points of the game, this incompletion would’ve brought the Seahawks right back in this game. Wilson needs to be able to hit receivers deep on a consistent basis when given adequate protection.

It’s 3rd and 11 and the Cardinals are bringing an all out blitz to try and thwart the Seahawks. Russell Wilson recognizes the no deep safety look and audibles to Doug Baldwin (#89) to change his route based on the coverage; Baldwin responds and changes his foot placement as a result. The Cardinals have two linebackers showing blitz on the A gaps. Ultimately, they blitz seven, including a safety who gets an unblocked blitzing lane directly at Wilson.

Baldwin takes a subtle step inside at the 35 yard line and causes the Arizona defender to hesitate, giving him a clear step on him as he runs down the field. The pass falls incomplete just in front of Baldwin. These are the types of throws that Wilson and Baldwin connected on with fair regularity last year.

1-10-ARI 42, 4th quarter
(9:02) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse.

The Cardinals are playing with a safety deep and press coverage with their corners. They blitz five defenders, and Russell Wilson is able to let go of the ball before edge pressure from the left side is able to arrive.

Jermaine Kearse (#15) and Paul Richardson (#10) are running a favorite concept of Seattle’s; a switch release with can create a natural rub in man coverage with Arizona’s corners. Arizona CB Justin Bethel (#28) plays the rub well in this instance, and evades it while staying in Kearse’s hip pocket as they run down the field. Wilson shows good mechanics in his follow-through after the throw, but is falls incomplete and just out of Kearse’s hands.

2-11-ARI 46, 4th quarter 
(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at ARI 15 for 31 yards (21-P.Peterson) [51-K.Minter].

Last few minutes of the game, Russell Wilson is usually money, and he shows it with this throw. This play is almost identical to the play run directly before it. The same switch release against Arizona’s man coverage is present, and this time the rub is more pronounced as CB Patrick Peterson (#21) stumbles and loses a step to Doug Baldwin (#89) as he runs a wheel route from his slot position.

Arizona is playing a single safety deep with their second covering Graham in man coverage within the box. Arizona chooses to blitz five defenders, with LB Kevin Minter (#51) screaming off the edge unblocked directly at Wilson. Wilson lets go of the pass as he gets demolished by the linebacker. The pass is a little behind Baldwin but he secures the reception along the sideline and gets Seattle into the redzone.

WEEK 17: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

SHORT: 90 yards, 13/24 – 54%
INTERMEDIATE: 49 yards, 1 touchdown, 3/3 – 100%
DEEP: 119 yards, 3/5 – 60%

19/32 for 258 passing yards, 59.4% completion, 8.1YPA, 1 touchdown, 95.6 passer rating, 1 sack for 6 yards

2-3-SEA 16(4:09), 2nd quarter
(Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin to SF 43 for 41 yards (33-R.Robinson). SF-33-R.Robinson was injured during the play. He is Out. Caught at SF 48.

Here, Doug Baldwin (#89) proves his versatility and strength as a top receiver in the league. He lines up in the “X” receiver position, an spot many critics have stated that he is unable to play at because of his stature.

Pre-snap, Wilson is looking at one safety deep and a seven man box. After deciding he wants to change the play, he shifts FB Marcel Reece (#44) slot left, who later chips and runs a flat route. Baldwin is playing against press coverage, and demonstrates his quick first step, taking an inside move before evading the corner’s jam and out running him down the field. Wilson sees his receiver has beat his corner, and throws a deep pass to him. The pass is a little underthrown, but Baldwin adjusts back to the ball and completions the reception.

2-10-SF 43(3:26), 2nd quarter
(Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 88-J.Graham pushed ob at SF 1 for 42 yards (41-A.Bethea) [51-G.Hodges]. Caught at SF 1. 0-yds YAC

Seattle is in an empty formation, splitting out RB Alex Collins (#36) in at receiver. The 49ers are in nickel expecting a pass with no running back in the backfield. The rush four and leave one linebacker to spy Russell Wilson. Wilson double clutches, almost throwing to Collins on a curl route, ultimately deciding against it.

After bringing the ball down, Wilson runs to his right to survey the field. The 49ers deep safety chose to double Jermaine Kearse (#15) on this particular play, leaving 6’2″ LB Gerald Hodges (#51) 40 yards down the field in coverage on 6’6″ TE Jimmy Graham (#88). Graham boxes out his defender and brings down Wilson’s prayer at the 1 yard line.

1-10-SEA 41, 3rd quarter
(10:01) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 15-J.Kearse ran ob at SF 23 for 36 yards. Caught at SF 25. 2-yds YAC

Struggles this year throwing deep from the pocket notwithstanding, Wilson continued to excel throwing deep on the run, as he always has. Part of Wilson’s skillset is his ability to throw with strong accuracy on the run on either side of the field.

Pre-snap, 49er S Jaquiski Tartt (#29) shifts to the middle of the field in order to play man coverage on TE Jimmy Graham (#88). The corners are in off coverage by a few yards, with a single safety deep. With a seven man box, the defense is expecting a run pay here. Wilson run’s play-action here but San Francisco’s linebackers are not fooled. DE DeForest Buckner (#99) is caught in-between Seattle’s LT and LG, with LT George Fant (#74) trailing after him to push him out of the play.

Pressure from Buckner and more edge pressure from the left side flushes Wilson out of the pocket to his left side. Jermaine Kearse (#15) releases inside before realizing his quarterback is in trouble and withdraws to the left side of the field, creating space between him and the sideline for the throw. Wilson throws a strike on the move on this scramble for a completion of 36 yards.

3-10-SEA 14, 3rd quarter
(5:15) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse [99-D.Buckner].

Pre-snap, the both 49ers safeties rotates out of the box and into deep coverage, and are playing in zone. As Russell Wilson snaps the ball, he is given plenty of time to survey the field on a regular four man rush. He side steps to the left attempting to hit Doug Baldwin (#89) on a deep out before seeing that he is double covered. After realizing his options on the left side of the play had disappeared, he runs to his right before momentarily pointing upfield to Jermaine Kearse (#15), redirecting him to run a go route.

Initially, Kearse chips his defender and proceeds to run a drag route across the field to give his quarterback a short outlet on a 3rd and long. Seeing his quarterback being to scramble, Kearse converts the route and begins running up the sideline in an attempt to get open. The pass is overthrown and falls incomplete in front of Kearse, although its hard to fault Wilson on this pass, as he has to throw on the run with the threat of an sandwich between two defenders incoming.

CUMULATIVE 4TH QUARTER STATS:

SHORT: 469 yards, 4 touchdowns 1 interception, 65/100 – 65%
INTERMEDIATE: 261 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 14/15 – 93%
DEEP: 347 yards, 1 touchdown, 4 interceptions, 12/27 – 44%

1,077 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, 6 interceptions, 91 completions on 142 passing attempts – 64%.

 

…continue to Page 5. 


Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

Russell Wilson in 2016-17: A Deep Passing Game Analysis (3)

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

3RD QUARTER OF THE SEASON

WEEK 10: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (W)

SHORT: 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 14/23 – 61%
INTERMEDIATE: 103 yards, 2 touchdowns, 7/8 – 88%
DEEP: 137 yards, 4/6 – 67%

25/37 for 348 passing yards, 67.6% completion, 9.4YPA, 3 touchdowns, 124.6 passer rating, 3 sacks for 24 yards

2-10-SEA 40, 1st quarter
(10:14) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett to NE 24 for 36 yards (32-D.McCourty).

It is no surprise that Russell Wilson’s best game of the season (and his career) coincided with his best deep passing performance of the year as well. After having some early success running the ball with RB C.J. Prosise against the Patriots, the Seahawks used play-action to throw deep early and often with good results.

On this play, Wilson motions Jimmy Graham (#88) across the line of scrimmage, causing their safety Patrick Chung (#23) to follow, indicating man coverage. Seattle pulls Graham after the play starts to sell the run fake, and Wilson looks off the free safety and fires a strike to Lockett for a over the shoulder catch.

LT George Fant’s (#74) block here really demonstrates the potential he can have as an offensive lineman as he drives his defender completely out of the field creating an open lane to aid in selling the run fake.

1-10-SEA 36, 2nd quarter
(7:56) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse (26-L.Ryan).

The Seahawks are in a singleback formation with 2 tight ends split left of the offensive line. Jimmy Graham (#88) motions back and forth and the defender mirrors him, indicating man coverage. After a slight play-action fake Wilson decides he’s going deep. The ball drifts a little too inside and Jermaine Kearse (#15) is unable to gain positioning and come down with the reception. The Patriots are stacking the box with 8 defenders on this 1st and 10, and Seattle picks a good down to throw the ball deep on.

2-4-SEA 46, 2nd quarter
(:41) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett to NE 30 for 24 yards (21-M.Butler).

Looking to push the ball down the field with time ticking down, Seattle goes into an empty set with running back C.J. Prosise (#22) split out wide. The Patriots respond with 2 safeties deep to stop any major possible completions. The Patriots actually only rush 2 defensive lineman at the snap, with their defensive end Lawrence Guy blitzing after chipping Jimmy Graham (#88) on his release. This gives Wilson plenty of time to survey the entire length of the field and find Tyler Lockett (#16) open on a deep curl, who comes back to the ball and secures the catch for a gain of 24 yards.

2-4-SEA 31, 3rd quarter
(7:16) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 10-P.Richardson to NE 30 for 39 yards (23-P.Chung).

The Seahawks are in a singleback formation with one tight end set inline to the right of the line. They motion Jimmy Graham (#88) from out wide towards the line of scrimmage and he lines up in the slot to the left of the offensive line. The motion causes the Patriots safety to drop and create an eight man box. Wilson runs play-action and finds an open Paul Richardson (#10) running a deep crossing route. This pass is inches away from being deflected from linebacker Donta Hightower (#54). Richardson shows a good move to stop, and turn back around upfield to gain an extra 10-20 yards on the play.

3-6-NE 40, 4th quarter
(11:09) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 22-C.Prosise to NE 2 for 38 yards (32-D.McCourty; 52-E.Roberts).

On an important 3rd down late, Seattle returned to a matchup they exploited frequently throughout the game. Splitting running back C.J. Prosise (#22) allowed them to key in on certain coverages and dictate matchups. A converted receiver such as Prosise found success against linebackers frequently throughout the game and on this play.

The Patriots are in cover 1 with man coverage all across the board. LB Elandon Roberts (#52) gives Prosise over 7 yards of space and is unable to keep up with him as he runs a wheel route up the sideline. Prosise has to come back inside to make the catch. Had the throw been more positioned further down the sideline this might’ve been a touchdown.

WEEK 11: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (W)

SHORT: 112 yards, 12/18 – 67%
INTERMEDIATE: 17 yards, 1/3 – 33%
DEEP: 143 yards, 1 touchdown, 5/10 – 50%

18/31 for 272 passing yards, 58.1% completion, 8.8YPA, 1 touchdown, 97.8 passer rating, 1 sack for 0 yards

3-11-SEA 19, 1st quarter
(7:08) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 10-P.Richardson.

The Seahawks have 3 receivers out wide and 1 tight end set inline to the right of the offensive line. The Eagles show a 4 man rush and blitz two linebackers after Wilson snaps the ball. Wilson recognizes man coverage and decides to throw a 50/50 ball to Paul Richardson (#10) down the sideline. The ball is placed just a bit too outside and Richardson’s attempt to one-arm the catch fails.


3-16-PHI 40, 2nd quarter
(8:36) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to D. Baldwin. PENALTY on PHI- B. Graham, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 40 – No Play.

Russell Wilson is in shotgun in a 3WR/1TE set. The Eagles play two safeties deep and drop all three of their linebackers back in coverage. Wilson uses a hard count and gets DE Brandon Graham to commit an offsides penalty. The offense converts their routes as a result, and Wilson targets Doug Baldwin (#89) who runs towards the middle of the field.

Despite this counting as a “no play”, I still wanted to include it. Wilson pump fakes as he reaches the end of his drop back, and floats a deep ball over an Eagles defender right off Baldwin’s outstretched hands. This is a very difficult throw in-between two defensive backs and over a linebacker.


3-11-PHI 35, 2nd quarter
(8:30) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 88-J.Graham for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The Seahawks have 5 eligible receivers split out wide with an empty set for Russell Wilson. The Eagles have a single safety deep and are playing in off coverage with their corners in man coverage.

Wilson feels immediate pressure off his LG and chooses to escape the pocket to his left and look down the field. Wilson throws an accurate pass off a awkward platform and trusts Jimmy Graham (#88) to adjust and come down with the pass. He does that and takes it into the end zone.

1st and 10, 2nd quarter
(5:32) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 89-D.Baldwin to PHI 33 for 44 yards (27-M.Jenkins).

The Seahawks are in singleback formation with C.J. Prosise in at tailback. Wilson runs play-action to his running back and looks down the field. TE Luke Willson (#82) pulls to sell the run fake, and provides protection after doing so. The Eagles are in zone coverage with a safety deep. Doug Baldwin (#89) takes advantage of the lack of press coverage and outruns the corner and nearby safety to streak open down the field.

Wilson goes for the sure completion and chooses not to air the ball out completely down the field. A ball with more air on it could’ve resulted in a longer play or a touchdown. Baldwin is able to adjust to the throw and complete the reception for a 44 yard gain.


1-10-PHI 33, 2nd quarter
(4:47) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett pushed ob at PHI 3 for 30 yards (23-R.McLeod).

After completing the 44 yard bomb to Doug Baldwin, the Seahawks return in a singleback formation on the very next play. Wilson motions Jimmy Graham (#88) towards the line of scrimmage and diagnoses man coverage with the shifting of the Eagle’s cornerback.

Wilson runs play-action to C.J. Prosise and takes a deep drop back to survey the field. Tyler Lockett (#16) runs an exceptional route against his defender. Lockett eats up the off coverage with his speed and fakes an outside move, causing the corner to bite and lose a step to him in the process. Lockett takes advantage and separates across the field and hauls in the accurate ball from Wilson.

1-10-SEA 41, 3rd quarter
(9:47) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 15-J.Kearse [55-B.Graham].

The Seahawks are in singleback with a receiver set bunched to the left. Wilson runs play-action to Thomas Rawls and looks down the field. Jimmy Graham (#88) gives up inside positioning to DE Brandon Graham (#55) and Wilson responds by escaping the pocket left. Wilson throws from another awkward platform but delivers the pass accurately on the sideline. Jermaine Kearse (#15) secures the reception but is unable to toe-tap his feet on the sideline.


3-11-SEA 40, 3rd quarter
(9:15) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at PHI 26 for 34 yards (26-J.Watkins) [96-B.Logan].

The Eagles show edge pressure here, showing blitz with a corner on each side of the line of scrimmage. Wilson notes the blitz and calls it out, with Jimmy Graham picking the left edge blitz and Thomas Rawls helping with the right edge blitz. The edge pressure spooks Wilson here as he starts to climb up in the pocket shortly after taking his dropback.

The Eagles drop 5 defenders into deep coverage. Someone fails to pick up Doug Baldwin (#89) and he strolls into the middle of the field wide open on his crossing route. Wilson one-arms a pass to a wide-open Baldwin on a crossing route in the middle of the field.

WEEK 12: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (L)

SHORT: 65 yards, 12/20 – 60%
INTERMEDIATE: 65 yards, 1 interception, 4/6 – 67%
DEEP: 21 yards, 1 interception, 1/7 – 14%

17/33 for 151 passing yards, 51.5% completion, 4.6YPA, 2 interceptions, 38.8 passer rating, 6 sacks for 33 yards

Russell Wilson found himself touchdown-less for the 5th game already this past season. Constant pressure all game resulted in 6 sacks for the quarterback, as he struggled to find anything deep completing only 1 of 7 deep passes.

3-11-SEA 24, 3rd quarter
(13:42) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 16-T.Lockett.

Seattle needs a sizable chunk of yardage here to convert this 3rd and 11. The Buccaneers have two defenders showing blitz in the A gaps. With 6 blitzers, both the running back and tight end are kept to provide protection for Russell Wilson. Tampa Bay is playing cover 1 with a single high safety and off man coverage.

Tyler Lockett (#16) runs a sharp route here, and uses his superior speed to outrun his defender as he breaks back towards the sideline at his 40 yard-line. Wilson gets the pocket he needed but just overthrows his receiver down the field.

2-7-TB 31, 4th quarter
(1:36) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right intended for 16-T.Lockett INTERCEPTED by 30-B.McDougald at TB 2. 30-B.McDougald to TB 34 for 32 yards (39-G.Farmer).

Seattle needs to gain chunks of yardage quickly and Tampa Bay knows it. Their defense is in zone with all their corners playing off to keep completed passes directly in front of them. Wilson attempts to look deep S Bradley McDougald (#30) off but he is unfazed as he baits Wilson into making this throw to Tyler Lockett (#16), ultimately intercepting it.

WEEK 13: CAROLINA PANTHERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (W)

SHORT: 149 yards, 1 touchdown, 19/26 – 73%
INTERMEDIATE: 99 yards, 1 interception, 6/7 – 86%
DEEP: 29 yards, 1/3 – 33%

26/36 for 277 passing yards, 72.2% completion, 7.7YPA, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 92.0 passer rating, 3 sacks for 21 yards

2-12-CAR 19, 2nd quarter
(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 88-J.Graham.

The Carolina Panthers are in cover 2 zone with 2 safeties playing deep. Russell Wilson sees nothing open at first, and has to deal with immediate pressure from DT Charles Johnson (#95) off LG Mike Glowinski (#63). Wilson pulls his patented spin move and runs out of the pocket to survey the field.

Despite an accurate strike down the field, normally sure-handed Jimmy Graham (#88) is unable to come down with the catch. Graham uses his giant frame to box his defender out of the play and make sure he is the only one with an attempt on the ball. Graham’s boxing out technique is unique and hopefully something the Seahawks can capitalize more on in the red zone next year.

1-10-CAR 44, 4th quarter
(13:09) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at CAR 15 for 29 yards (27-R.McClain; 22-M.Griffin).

The Seahawks are in singleback formation here with three eligible receivers bunched to the left of the line of scrimmage. The Panther linebackers and safety near the box are betting on the Seahawks running the ball here, as they aggressively jump toward the line of scrimmage as the ball is snapped.

Doug Baldwin (#89) fakes like he’s run blocking here, pulling his corner in to think he needs to help defend the run. After Baldwin disengages, Wilson finishes an effective play-action fake to his running back and finds his receiver with a touch pass in-between two defenders.

CUMULATIVE 3RD QUARTER STATS:

SHORT: 434 yards, 2 touchdowns, 57/87 – 66%
INTERMEDIATE: 284 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 18/24 – 75%
DEEP: 330 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 11/26 – 42%

1,048 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 86 completions on 137 passing attempts – 63%.

 

…continue to PAGE 4.


Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

Russell Wilson 2016-17: A Deep Passing Game Analysis (2)

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

WEEK 5 BYE

The next quarter of games for Russell Wilson presented an issue that would be present all season, which was red-zone execution. 3 out of the next 4 games had Wilson throwing for no touchdowns, before breaking out against the New England Patriots. It appeared there was a clear change in game plan to accommodate Wilson’s lingering knee and ankle injuries, prevent the offense from executing deep passes with much regularity.

The Seahawks admitted this themselves publicly, with offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell stating in an interview with ESPN writer Sheil Kapadia “… there was a little bit of holding back, and I think of a lot of it can be drawn to Russell’s health and where he was at. He showed some signs in that game that he was getting back to himself. Not a hundred percent. But obviously he was getting back to himself.”

Sheil described the downfield passing game with a notable statistic, stating that “in the first eight weeks, only 13.7 percent of Wilson’s pass attempts traveled 15 or more yards down the field. That ranked 31st in the NFL”.

The Seahawks had placed their focus on the quick passing gaming, with “Wilson getting rid of the ball on average in 2.35 seconds, seventh-fastest in the NFL. As a point of reference, he’s never finished higher than 32nd in that category for an entire season.”

2ND QUARTER OF THE SEASON

WEEK 6: ATLANTA FALCONS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (W)

SHORT: 174 yards, 20/30 – 67%
INTERMEDIATE: 96 yards, 5/6 – 83%
DEEP:  0 yards, 0/1 – 0%

25/37 for 270 passing yards, 67.6% completion, 7.3YPA, 88.8 passer rating, 1 sack for 9 yards

2-6-ATL 47, 4th quarter
(7:09) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 15-J.Kearse.

Russell Wilson tries to get the defense to jump, revealing their desire to bail out of press coverage once he snaps the ball. The Falcons show a five man blitz with their linebacker right in front of the center. Wilson feels edge pressure immediately from LB Vic Beasley (#44) and mitigates it by stepping up in the pocket.

The Falcons are playing in a cover 3 zone, with a Falcons defender passing off Baldwin to the free safety, allowing Wilson to find his one on one with Jermaine Kearse (#15). The pass is just too far in-front of Kearse, and he is unable to come down with the reception.

 WEEK 7: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS (T)

SHORT: 157 yards, 19/29 – 65%
INTERMEDIATE: 57 yards, 4/5 – 80%
DEEP: 31 yards, 1/3 – 33%

24/37 for 225 passing yards, 64.9% completion, 6.1YPA, 81.5 passer rating, 1 sack for 20 yards

1-20-ARI 32, 4th quarter
(4:22) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse.

The deep passing game continued to be restrained in terms of attempts, but Jermaine Kearse as Russell Wilson’s favorite target when throwing deep continued.

The Cardinals are playing in a cover 2 zone with two linebackers dropping underneath. The deep sidelines of cover 2 are typically the weak part of the zone, which Wilson recognizes and attempts to exploit on this play. Seattle’s offensive line provides a good pocket for a deep ball from Wilson, which is again, just in-front of his receiver as it lands out of reach for Jermaine Kearse (#15) who has gained separation from his defender.

3-4-SEA 26, OT
(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 15-J.Kearse pushed ob at ARI 43 for 31 yards (41-M.Cooper).

Deep in overtime, Wilson is finally able to complete his first deep ball of the game. The Cardinals have two defensive tackles in 3-point stances, with three lineman playing in 2-point stances showing blitz. With one safety deep and man coverage, it appears they are playing cover 1. Jermaine Kearse (#15) brings down a perfect pass from Wilson as gains positioning on his defender, CB Marcus Cooper (#41).

On the other side of the formation, Tyler Lockett (#16) has such an outstanding release he causes CB Patrick Peterson (#21) to hesitate momentarily, and uses his speed to take advantage and create a few yards of separation that Wilson could have used for a potential walk-off in overtime.

On a side note, it’s pretty cool seeing our sideline explode like that. Can’t wait to watch these guys play again soon.

WEEK 8: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (L)

SHORT: 200 yards, 1 interception, 19/29 – 65%
INTERMEDIATE: 30 yards, 2/4 – 50%
SHORT: 23 yards, 1/1 – 100%

22/34 for 253 passing yards, 64.7% completion, 7.4YPA, 1 interception, 74.8 passer rating, 1 sack for 11 yards

1-10-SEA 33, 2nd quarter
(:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 15-J.Kearse pushed ob at NO 44 for 23 yards (31-J.Byrd).

The New Orleans Saints defense appears to be playing cover 4 on this play, electing to rush 3 defensive lineman and drop 8 defenders into coverage. Russell Wilson finds the soft spot in the zone, between the dropping corner and deep safety, and muscles a bullet to Jermaine Kearse (#15) on a corner route. The 3 man rush gives Wilson plenty of time to look downfield as he steps up in the pocket to gain better positioning for an accurate pass.

WEEK 9: BUFFALO BILLS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (W)

SHORT: 102 yards, 11/15 – 73%
INTERMEDIATE: 130 yards, 2 touchdowns, 8/8 – 100%
DEEP: 50 yards, 1/3 – 33%

20/26 for 282 passing yards, 76.9% completion, 10.8YPA, 2 touchdowns, 137.0 passer rating, 4 sacks for 37 yards

2-5-SEA 47, 1st quarter
(12:58) 
3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin to BUF 3 for 50 yards (28-R.Darby).

The Buffalo Bills are already showing a zero safety look with their free safety playing in the shallow box to stop the run very early in this game. Wilson runs a hard play-action fake to his RB and surveys downfield for a target. Wilson uncorks the ball as a defender in his right in his face and is still able place it accurately for Doug Baldwin (#89).

Baldwin runs a precise route against CB Ronald Darby (#28), and gets him to commit the wrong way with a sharp cut, and promptly accelerates down the field to gain separation. Baldwin tracks the ball as its in the air and falls right below it to the Buffalo 3 yard line.

1-10-SEA 44, 2nd quarter
(8:48) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse (28-R.Darby).

The Seahawks are in an I-formation with Will Tukuafu (#46) in at fullback. The Bills are playing a single high safety deep are playing in man coverage. The pass is too far inside and Jermaine Kearse (#15) does not have the necessary separation to come down with the ball as he fights through it in traffic.

3-6-BUF 31, 4th quarter
(10:00)
(Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 15-J.Kearse.

Presnap the Buffalo Bills here show they’re going to blitz five defenders. With a single high safety and press coverage on the outside, their defense appears to be in cover 1 with one of their safeties playing inside the box as an extra defender. The Bills defensive line attempts to stunt to confuse the offensive line but their stunting defender is never able to get to Wilson.

Wilson recognizes man coverage on the boundaries and throws deep to Jermaine Kearse (#15) who is running a go route up the sideline. Kearse is ultimately unable to bring a difficult grab on a well-placed ball by Wilson.

CUMULATIVE 2ND QUARTER STATS:

SHORT: 633 yards, 1 interception, 69/103 – 67%
INTERMEDIATE: 313 yards, 2 touchdowns, 19/23 – 83%
DEEP: 104 yards, 3/8 – 38%

1,050 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interceptions,  91 completions on 134 passing attempts – 68%.

…continue on to PAGE 3 

 


Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

Russell Wilson in 2016-17: A Deep Passing Game Analysis

Russell Wilson

2016-17 NFL SEASON
353 completions on 546 passing attempts, 4,219 passing yards, 64.7% completion, 7.73YPA, 21 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 92.6 passer rating, 41 sacks for 293 yards

2017 PLAYOFFS
40 completions on 60 passing attempts, 449 passing yards, 66.7% completion, 7.5YPA, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 97.2 passer rating, 6 sacks for 31 yards

Page 1: Introduction and 1st Quarter (Weeks 1-4)
Page 2: 2nd Quarter (Weeks 6-9)
Page 3: 3rd Quarter (Weeks 10-13)
Page 4: 4th Quarter (Weeks 14-17)
Page 5: Playoffs and Conclusion

In a year characterized by injury for some of its most important players, Seattle struggled to find consistency, ultimately suffering another early road playoff game exit. The offense in specific had issues on finding their identity much throughout the season. Injuries to the running back position coupled with inexperience of Seattle’s offensive line resulted in a giant decrease in running efficiency. Continue Reading →

A Redzone Look: Miami Dolphins (Week 1)

 

 

After finishing the 2016 season red hot on offense as the number one ranked team per DVOA, many expected the Seahawks to pick up where they left off. Things went awry quickly as Russell Wilson was injured in the third quarter and Seattle struggled to put points on the board.  Going just one for three in redzone touchdowns in week one the Seahawks offensive prowess was in question.

A Redzone Look: Miami Dolphins

1st and 10 at MIA 17

(6:42 – 1st) T.Rawls up the middle to MIA 16 for 1 yard (J.Warmsley). 12 personnel.


After rushing for a gain of 12 yards under center, the Seahawks return in a similar formation. Doug Baldwin goes in motion on the line of scrimmage, causing Miami’s safety to drop out of the box, signaling to his teammate to pick up Baldwin in man coverage. While Seattle is still running into a 7 man box, Thomas Rawls is only able to pick up 1 yard between the rushing lane of (#72) Garry Gilliam and (#88) Jimmy Graham. Gilliam’s block disengages at the last second and stops Rawls near the line of scrimmage.

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2nd and 9 at MIA 16

(6:05 – 1st) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass incomplete short middle to J.Kearse (R.Jones). 01 personnel.

Miami comes out in a Cover 2 zone look, while Seattle counters with an empty set. Russell Wilson takes a three step drop and throws a tick late to (#15) Jermaine Kearse who is coming out of his break on a dig route, the lack of anticipation results in the defender, (#20) Reshad Jones making a clean break on the ball. Wilson also throws the ball behind his receiver making the catch that much more difficult. (#89) Baldwin is double covered on this particular play in the end zone.

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3rd and 9 at MIA 16

(5:56 – 1st) (Shotgun) R.Wilson sacked at MIA 21 for -5 yards (M.Williams). 11 personnel.

Miami again is playing in a Cover 2, though this time in man coverage. Russell Wilson appears to be wanting (#89) Baldwin here, pump faking and pulling the corner covering Baldwin out of the play, Baldwin flashes open here but the line isn’t able to give Wilson enough time to complete the throw. (#73)  J’Marcus Webb is unable to hold up in pass protection for a longer developing route and as a result his defender sacks Wilson.

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4th and 14 at MIA 21

(5:11 – 1st) Steven Hauschka 39 Yd Field Goal

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1st and 10 at MIA 20

(0:09 – 2nd) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass incomplete short left to D.Baldwin. 11 personnel.

The Seahawks effectively have one shot at the end zone here before settling for a field goal due to the small amount of time left. Miami is in Cover 2 Man in an attempt to stop passes into the end zone and force a field goal. Wilson is forced to escape the pocket after pressure off left tackle is too great with only short gains in sight and throws the ball away.

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2nd and 10 at MIA 20

(0:00 – 2nd) Steven Hauschka 38 Yd Field Goal

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After injuring his ankle earlier in the game, Wilson’s mobility was clearly hampered as he hobbled in the pocket for the majority of the game. When his team needed it, he drove down the field for the go-ahead touchdown mostly utilizing the quick passing game.

1st and 10 at MIA 16

(1:28 – 4th) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass short right to T.Lockett to MIA 11 for 5 yards (X.Howard). 11 personnel.

Wilson motions (#32)  Christine Michael out of the backfield against a Cover 1 look by Miami. Wilson audibles to his receivers signaling a change in the play. It’s unclear what Wilson sees on the left side as the route combination with Michael and (#15) Kearse appears to fail, Wilson leaves the pocket and throws to an open (#16) Tyler Lockett on the boundary.

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(1:05 – 4th) Timeout #2 by MIA at 01:09.

2nd and 5 at MIA 11

(1:09 – 4th) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass short right to D.Baldwin to MIA 2 for 9 yards (R.Jones; X.Howard). 11 personnel.

Miami returns to their Cover 2 zone shell, with (#41) Maxwell playing almost 10 yards off (#16) Lockett on the bottom left side of the screen. Wilson throws to (#89) Baldwin with excellent anticipation as he flashes open between zones. 

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(0:54 – 4th) Timeout #3 by MIA at 00:57.

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1st and Goal at MIA 2

(0:57 – 4th) (Shotgun) C.Michael left guard to MIA 2 for no gain (N.Suh). 11 personnel.

The Seahawks place their receivers in a bunch formation, pulling possible blockers out of the box for the running play. The Seahawks use a 6 man front against a 8 man box, and are unable to create any sizable rushing lanes.

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2nd and Goal at MIA 2

(0:31 – 4th) Doug Baldwin Pass From Russell Wilson for 2 Yrds. TOUCHDOWN. 11 personnel.

Wilson throws a great touch pass as (#89) Baldwin beats his corner in man coverage. The offensive line actually run blocks here, signalling some sort of audible between Wilson and his receivers. The run action here provides Wilson with ample time to throw as he gets rid of the ball quickly. This is a good play call against man coverage as it utilizes Baldwin’s quickness and ability to find open space.

Outcome

While this was a disappointing and dangerous outing for the Seahawks, with the injury to Wilson, they managed to win the game. As is expected with a week one performance there were issues, going one for three in redzone touchdowns was not comforting for fans. Due to poor execution, bad offensive line play and an injured quarterback the Seahawks were held to 12 points over four quarters as they headed into L.A. to face the Rams in their home opener.